基于DMSP/OLS夜间灯光数据的新疆1992—2013年能源消费研究
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范小晶, 张永福, 程珍珍
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Research on energy consumption of Xinjiang based on DMSP/OLS night light data from 1992 to 2013
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Xiaojing FAN, Yongfu ZHANG, Zhenzhen CHENG
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表2 一元与多元回归分析精度检验
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Tab.2 Accuracy test of one dimensional and multiple regression analysis model
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| 年份 | 统计值/万t标准煤 | 一元回归值/万t标准煤 | 多元回归值/万t标准煤 | 一元回归相对误差/% | 多元回归相对误差/% | | 1992 | 2 260.76 | 1 891.337 | 2 278.750 | -19.53 | 0.80 | | 1993 | 2 496.98 | 2 200.477 | 2 451.600 | -13.47 | -1.82 | | 1994 | 2 605.67 | 2 270.774 | 2 399.050 | -14.75 | -7.93 | | 1995 | 2 733.04 | 2 782.223 | 2 765.390 | 1.77 | 1.18 | | 1996 | 3 045.16 | 3 114.827 | 3 032.510 | 2.24 | -0.42 | | 1997 | 3 208.24 | 3 209.200 | 3 135.530 | 0.03 | -2.27 | | 1998 | 3 279.75 | 3 440.532 | 3 369.140 | 4.67 | 2.73 | | 1999 | 3 215.02 | 3 561.534 | 3 471.390 | 9.73 | 7.97 | | 2000 | 3 316.03 | 3 795.533 | 3 679.080 | 12.63 | 10.95 | | 2001 | 3 496.44 | 3 875.107 | 3 712.960 | 9.77 | 6.19 | | 2002 | 3 622.40 | 4 135.205 | 3 877.070 | 12.40 | 7.03 | | 2003 | 4 064.43 | 4 416.460 | 4 365.160 | 7.97 | 7.40 | | 2004 | 4 784.83 | 4 902.094 | 4 889.020 | 2.39 | 2.18 | | 2005 | 5 506.49 | 5 239.612 | 5 426.190 | -5.09 | -1.46 | | 2006 | 6 047.27 | 5 500.410 | 5 527.870 | -9.94 | -8.59 | | 2007 | 6 575.92 | 6 189.842 | 6 364.730 | -6.24 | -3.21 | | 2008 | 7 069.39 | 6 578.315 | 6 615.900 | -7.47 | -6.41 | | 2009 | 7 525.56 | 6 827.974 | 6 718.280 | -10.22 | -10.73 | | 2010 | 8 290.2 | 9 190.153 | 8 931.560 | 9.79 | 7.74 | | 2011 | 9 926.5 | 10 067.900 | 10 698.910 | 1.40 | 7.78 | | 2012 | 11 831.62 | 11 013.230 | 10 953.190 | -7.43 | -7.42 | | 2013 | 13 631.79 | 13 250.060 | 13 870.200 | -2.88 | 1.75 |
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