面向SDG15的钱江源国家公园生态系统服务时空分析
SDG15-oriented analysis on the spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services in Qianjiangyuan National Park
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摘要: 生态系统服务是连接生态与人类福祉的桥梁,快速、准确地评估其变化对实现区域可持续发展具有重要意义。SDG15也为生态系统服务的计算提供了新的思路方向。钱江源为钱塘江发源地、长三角地区当前唯一的国家公园试点区域,目前却对该区域生态系统服务时空分布及变化缺乏深入认识。本研究基于试点区2010—2020年4期土地覆被遥感监测数据,利用InVEST模型,结合单、双变量Moran’s I空间自相关方法,面向SDG15指标,定量评估钱江源国家公园生态系统服务的时空变化特征。结果表明: ①2010—2020年,生态系统服务价值呈不断增加趋势,期间共增加了15.21%。文化服务增长最快,增长了19.70%,调节服务增长了16.27%,供给服务减少了1.72%; ②生态系统服务价值空间分布均呈现出从东北与西南逐渐向中部减小的空间变化趋势; ③土地覆被类型的时空变化导致在无法增加土地利用率的现状下,生态系统服务增长缓慢,湿地和水体等面积与生态质量的减少导致了部分生态系统服务空间聚集度与可提供价值的下降; ④生态系统服务可以成为衡量SDG15的指标。研究结果能为钱江源国家公园建设提供理论依据和技术支撑,实现区域生态环境的可持续发展。Abstract: Ecosystem services are the bridge between ecology and human well-being, hence rapid and accurate assessment of their changes is very important for regional sustainable development. Sustainable Development Goal 15 (SDG15) also provides a new direction for the calculation of ecosystem services. The Qianjiangyuan is the origin of the Qiantang River and the only pilot national park in the Yangtze River Delta region at present. However, it is necessary to further clarify the spatiotemporal distribution and changes of the ecosystem services in Qianjiangyuan. Based on the 2010—2020 remote sensing monitoring data of land cover in the pilot area and oriented to the SDG15 indicators, this study quantitatively assessed the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of ecosystem services in Qianjiangyuan National Park using the InVEST model and the univariate and bivariate Moran’s I spatial autocorrelation methods. The results are shown as follows. ① From 2010 to 2020, the values of ecosystem services gradually increased by 15.21%. Specifically, cultural services grew the fastest by 19.70%, regulating services grew by 16.27%, and supply services decreased by 1.72%. ② The spatial distribution of ecosystem service values showed a gradually decreasing trend from the northeast and the southwest to the center. ③ The spatiotemporal changes in land cover types slowed the growth of ecosystem services under the land development restriction. The reduced areas of wetlands and water bodies and ecological quality led to declined spatial aggregation and value of some ecosystem services. ④ Ecosystem services can be regarded as an indicator of SDG15. The study results are expected to provide a theoretical basis and technical support for the construction of Qianjiangyuan National Park and support the sustainable development of the regional ecological environment.
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