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    京广高铁对河北沿线城市影响的遥感监测分析

    Analyzing impact of the Beijing-Guangzhou high-speed railway on cities along the Hebei section based on remote sensing monitoring

    • 摘要: 目前高铁对沿线城市的影响尚不明确,以往基于遥感数据的高速铁路影响研究主要以定性分析为主。针对这一现状,文章以京广高铁河北段沿线为研究区,提出了一种定性与定量相结合的高铁城市发展影响遥感监测方法。首先构建表征城市发展变化的参数指标体系; 然后利用多源、多尺度遥感数据,监测京广高铁开通前后研究区(河北省内4座已开通高铁城市)内各指标的时空变化; 最后选取研究区毗邻的4座未通高铁的城市作为对照组,利用双重差分(difference in differences,DID)模型量化分析高铁对河北4市的影响。研究发现: ①京广高铁河北段沿线4市在2005—2020年间建设用地快速扩张,平均每年扩张2.00%; ②高铁建设会显著影响城市的扩张方向,且这种影响与二者的空间关系有关; ③与未通高铁的4市相比,京广高铁的开通降低了沿线4市城区面积的扩张速度。

       

      Abstract: At present, the impacts of high-speed railways (HSRs) on cities along rail lines remain unclear. Previous analyses of these impacts based on remote sensing data focused primarily on qualitative assessment. Given this, this study investigated the Hebei section of the Beijing-Guangzhou HSR and introduced a remote sensing monitoring-based method that integrated qualitative and quantitative analyses for assessing the impacts of HSR on urban development. First, this study established a parameter index system used to characterize urban development changes. Then, multi-source and multi-scale remote sensing data were employed to monitor the spatiotemporal variations in these indices before and after the operation of the Beijing-Guangzhou HSR within this study area. Finally, four cities that were adjacent to the study area but lacked available HSRs were selected as a control group. Using the difference-in-differences (DID) model, this study quantified the impacts of HSRs on four cities along the Hebei section. The results indicate that the four cities along the Hebei section of the Beijing-Guangzhou HSR saw a rapid expansion in the construction land between 2005 and 2020, with an average annual expansion rate of 2.00%. The HSR construction exerted a significant impact on the direction of urban expansion, with the impact related to the spatial relationship between both. Compared to the four cities in the control group, the operation of the Beijing-Guangzhou HSR has slowed down the expansion rates of urban areas in the four cities along the line.

       

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