基于神经网络的InSAR/GNSS深度融合尾矿库坝体时序监测及预测研究
Time-series monitoring and prediction of tailings dams through neural network-based deep infusion of InSAR and GNSS data
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摘要: 尾矿库坝体稳定性时序监测及预测一直都是我国矿山产业安全方面研究重点。该文利用InSAR与GNSS技术获取安徽省某尾矿库坝体表面6个特征监测点的26期纵向形变数据,通过建立附有限制参数的平差模型,以监测点的初始三维坐标作为多项式改正参数,对合成孔径雷达干涉测量技术(interferometric synthetic aperture Radar,InSAR)数据与全球导航卫星定位系统(global navigation satellite system,GNSS)数据进行融合以提高数据精度,并利用BP神经网络对监测点的形变数据进行时序预测,从而得到监测点的未来形变数据。实验结果表明,GNSS与InSAR数据融合后以均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)作为精度评定标准,计算并比较融合前、后每一期形变数据与形变真值的RMSE,得到融合后RMSE较融合前下降最多70.61%,平均下降25.91%。采用神经网络模型对融合后的1~22期InSAR数据反复训练,以23~26期InSAR形变数据作为测试集,最后输出各点23~26期数据。通过与GNSS数据计算各点网络输出值RMSE<1.5 mm。研究成果能够为尾矿库坝体时序稳定性监测及预测提供可靠技术支撑。Abstract: The time-series monitoring and prediction of tailings dam stability have always been a major concern in China’s mine safety research. Focusing on a tailings dam in Anhui province,this study obtained 26 periods of longitudinal deformation data from six characteristic monitoring points on the dam surface,using InSAR and GNSS technologies. Based on the data,a least-squares adjustment model with restricted parameters was established. Combined with the initial three-dimensional coordinates of the monitoring points as polynomial correction parameters,the InSAR and GNSS data were fused to improve the data accuracy. Then,time-series prediction of deformation data was conducted for the monitoring points using the back propagation (BP) neural network,thus obtaining their future deformation data. Experiments were carried out to compute and compare the deformation data and corresponding root mean square error (RMSE) of each period before and after fusion,wherein the fused GNSS and InSAR data were evaluated with the root mean square error (RMSE) as the accuracy standard. The results showed that the post-fusion RMSE decreased by up to 70.61% and by at least 4.34% (average:25.91%),compared to pre-fusion data. Furthermore,the neural network model was used to repeatedly train the fused InSAR data from periods 1 to 22,with periods 23 to 26 serving as the test set,ultimately outputting the data of each point for periods 23 to 26. Compared to the GNSS data,the RMSE of the outputs were less than 1.5 mm. These results can provide reliable technical support for the time-series monitoring and prediction of tailings dam stability.
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