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    基于GIS的安徽省自然湖泊动态变化及驱动力分析

    GIS-based analysis of dynamic changes and driving forces for natural lakes in Anhui Province

    • 摘要: 自然湖泊作为安徽省弥足珍贵的自然资源,区别于水库、塘堰等人工水体,其形成与演化受地质、气候及水文条件控制,具有相对稳定的形态和生态系统,在区域生态平衡、经济发展以及社会文化生活中占据着至关重要的地位。因此,研究安徽省自然湖泊的时空变化及其驱动力,对安徽省自然湖泊的保护工作意义重大。该文选用Landsat5 TM,Landsat8 OLI数据,采用人机交互的方式提取安徽省自然湖泊,运用动态度和土地利用转移矩阵研究其时空变化特征,从自然因素和社会因素2方面研究其变化的驱动因素。2002—2022年安徽省自然湖泊面积与数量呈现“先减后增”的阶段性变化特征,湖泊总面积减少366.5 km2。2002—2012年湖泊面积快速缩减,2012年为最低值,湖泊面积为2 850.02 km2;2012—2022年湖泊面积缓慢恢复,2022年回升至2 960.97 km2;湖泊数量方面,累计减少4个湖泊,2002—2007年经历快速减少,年均减少1.4个,2007年减至102个,2007—2022年逐步恢复增加,年均增0.2个,2022年达105个;典型湖泊土地利用变化以湖泊转出为主要趋势,转出类型主要转化为耕地、其他水体。安徽省自然湖泊面积变化受自然因素和社会因素的双重影响,淮河径流量减少导致入湖水量下降,是湖泊面积缩减的关键自然因素,人类活动的影响以及湖泊周边土地利用类型的转变是湖泊面积减少的重要社会因素。

       

      Abstract: Natural lakes,as a precious natural resource in Anhui Province,are defined as large water bodies formed by natural water accumulation in surface depressions. Different from artificial water bodies such as reservoirs and ponds,they are formed and evolved under the control of geological,climatic,and hydrological conditions. Moreover,characterized by relatively stable forms and ecosystems,they play important roles in regional ecological balance,economic development,and socio-cultural activities. Therefore,investigating their spatiotemporal changes and driving forces is highly significant for the protection of natural lakes in Anhui Province. This study collected data from the Thematic Mapper (TM) onboard the Landsat-5 satellite and the Operational Land Imager onboard the Landsat-8 satellite. Then,the natural lakes in Anhui Province were extracted from these data using a human-computer interaction method. This study investigated spatiotemporal changes of the lakes using the dynamic degree and land use transfer matrix. The driving factors of the changes were examined from two aspects:natural factors and social factors. From 2002 to 2022,the natural lakes in Anhui Province showed a phased change in both area and number,characterized by an initial decrease followed by an increase. In terms of lake area,the total area of the lakes decreased by 366.5 km2. Specifically,from 2002 to 2012,the lake area decreased rapidly,reaching its lowest value of 2850.12 km2 in 2012. From 2012 to 2022,the area gradually recovered,rebounding to 2960.97 km2 in 2022. In terms of the lake number,there was a cumulative reduction of four lakes over the period. Specifically,the period from 2002 to 2007 saw a rapid decline,with an average annual decrease of 1.4 lakes. From 2007 to 2022,the number gradually rebounded,with an average annual increase of 0.2 lakes,reaching a total of 105 lakes in 2022. The changes in land use around typical lakes predominantly involved the conversion to arable land and other water bodies. In Anhui Province,the natural lake areas were influenced by both natural and social factors. The decreased runoff of the Huaihe River resulted in a decrease in inflow into the lakes,which serves as a key natural factor contributing to the reduction of the natural lake area in Anhui Province. Human activities and land use changes around the lakes are identified as important social factors for the reduction of the lake area.

       

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