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    基于多源遥感数据的六盘山地区相对贫困脆弱性风险空间分异研究

    Exploring the spatial differentiation of vulnerability to relative poverty in the Liupanshan area based on multi-source remote sensing data

    • 摘要: 明确“后扶贫时代”六盘山集中连片特困区相对贫困脆弱性风险的空间分异特征与驱动机制,有助于为优化乡村振兴战略提供科学依据。该文通过融合地理资本理论与Bogardi-Birkmann-Cardona(BBC)分析框架,构建了一个包含生态暴露性、社会敏感性和经济适应性的三维评估体系。借助多源遥感数据和统计数据,利用空间分析、地理探测器模型及K-means聚类算法,分析六盘山地区相对贫困脆弱性风险的空间分异特征和驱动机制。主要研究发现: ①该地区相对贫困脆弱性风险存在显著空间集聚性,依据各维度指数的空间分布差异可将该地区的相对贫困脆弱性风险划分为4类,即生态暴露风险主导型、生态-社会风险复合型、社会-经济风险复合型以及潜在型脆弱地区; ②相对贫困脆弱性风险的4个主要影响因素为外出务工人数占比、归一化植被指数(normalized difference vegetation index,NDVI)、农村就业水平和平均海拔。该文提出的相对贫困脆弱性风险测度框架不仅具备指标简洁性和模型解释力优势,还可为防返贫监测提供工具,并对类似地区具有应用扩展价值。

       

      Abstract: Identifying the spatial differentiation characteristics and underlying driving mechanisms of the vulnerability to relative poverty in the Liupanshan area-a contiguous poverty-stricken area-during the post-poverty alleviation era will help provide a scientific basis for optimizing China's rural revitalization strategy. By integrating the geographical capital theory with the Bogardi-Birkmann-Cardona (BBC) framework, this study established a three-dimensional (3D) assessment system that incorporates ecological exposure, social sensitivity, and economic adaptability. Based on multi-source remote sensing and statistical data, the spatial differentiation characteristics and underlying driving mechanisms of the vulnerability to relative poverty in the Liupanshan area were analyzed using spatial analysis, the Geodetector model, and the K-means clustering algorithm. The findings indicate that the vulnerability to relative poverty in the Liupanshan area exhibits prominent spatial agglomeration. Based on the spatial distribution differences of indices across various dimensions, zones with vulnerability to relative poverty in the Liupanshan area can be divided into ecological exposure-dominated, ecological-social, social-economic, and potential vulnerable zones. Four primary factors driving vulnerability to relative poverty were identified: the proportion of migrant workers, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), rural employment level, and average elevation. Besides superior indicator simplicity and model interpretability, the 3D assessment system established for the vulnerability to relative poverty provides a tool for monitoring and preventing relapse into poverty and holds potential for application in similar areas.

       

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