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    雅鲁藏布江流域植被覆盖度时空异质性及驱动因素分析

    Spatiotemporal heterogeneity of fractional vegetation cover and its driving factors in the Yarlung Zangbo River basin

    • 摘要: 植被覆盖度(fractional vegetation cover,FVC)是量化地表植被状况的关键指标,其时空异质性对生态保护与区域可持续发展具有重要意义。文章基于2001—2022年归一化植被指数(normalized difference vegetation index,NDVI)数据,结合Theil-Sen Median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall检验、最优参数地理探测器(optimal parameters geographical detector,OPGD)及偏相关分析等方法,定量揭示流域植被长时序空间分异格局及驱动因素。结果表明: ①流域FVC呈显著上升趋势,空间上植被覆盖呈现显著异质性,61.83%的区域表现为改善(β≥0.000 5),6.18%的区域表现为退化(β≤-0.000 5),31.99%的区域保持稳定,年际变异系数均值为0.023 4,整体波动较低,仅0.28%区域呈现高波动变化; ②高程、年均温度、年降水量和土地利用类型是流域FVC空间分异的主控因子,土地利用类型与高程交互作用的解释力最强(Q=0.794 31),人口密度与坡向交互作用最弱(Q=0.015 18); ③FVC与温度呈弱正相关(平均偏相关系数为0.12),67.74%的区域受增温效应促进植被生长,而降水影响呈现空间分异,中西部干旱区降水增加提升FVC,东部多数湿润区降水对FVC作用不明显,林芝市墨脱县及周边区域降水与FVC呈正相关。研究结果可为高寒流域生态保护与可持续发展规划提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: Fractional vegetation cover (FVC) represents a key indicator for quantifying the situation of surface vegetation, and its spatiotemporal heterogeneity is of great significance for ecological conservation and regional sustainable development. Based on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data spanning from 2001 to 2022, this study quantitatively revealed the long-time-series spatial differentiation pattern of FVC and its driving factors in the Yarlung Zangbo River basin using a range of methods, including Theil-Sen Median trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test, optimal parameters-based geographical detector (OPGD), and partial correlation analysis. The results indicate that from 2001 to 2022, the FVC of the basin showed a pronounced upward trend and distinct spatial heterogeneity. Specifically, 61.83% and 6.18% of the basin exhibited improved and degraded vegetation cover (β≥0.000 5; β≤-0.000 5), respectively, while the vegetation cover remained stable in 31.99% of the basin. The mean interannual coefficient of variation was determined at 0.023 4, suggesting slight fluctuations overall, with significant variations observed in only 0.28% of the basin. Elevation, annual average temperature, annual precipitation, and land use type were identified as primary factors controlling the spatial differentiation of FVC. Meanwhile, the interactions between land use type and elevation and between population density and slope aspect demonstrated the strongest and weakest explanatory power, respectively, with q values of 0.794 31 and 0.015 18. Additionally, there existed a weak positive correlation between FVC and temperature (average partial correlation coefficient: 0.12), with the warming effect promoting vegetation growth in 67.74% of the basin. In contrast, the impacts of precipitation on FVC varied spatially. Specifically, increased precipitation contributed to elevated FVC in the central and western arid parts, exerted a minimal impact on FVC in most humid regions in the eastern part, and presented a positive correlation with the indicator in Motuo County of Linzhi City and its surrounding areas. The results of this study reveal the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of FVC and their driving factors in the Yarlung Zangbo River basin, providing a scientific basis for ecological protection and sustainable development planning in alpine river basins.

       

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