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    黄河流域山东段“三生”功能耦合协调特征及其影响因素研究

    Coupling coordination characteristics and their influencing factors for production-living-ecological functions in the Shandong section of the Yellow River basin

    • 摘要: 为探究黄河流域山东段“三生”功能时空演变及耦合协调机制,该文基于1980年、1990年、1995年、2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年8期土地利用数据构建“三生”空间评价体系,并集成热点分析、耦合协调度等模型剖析该区域“三生”空间的时空演变及耦合协调特征,通过最优参数地理探测器探究影响其耦合协调度的驱动因子。结果表明: ①研究期内生产生态空间占比最大且分布广泛,生活生产空间持续扩展,而黄河三角洲生态空间显著减少; ②全区耦合协调度呈缓慢上升趋势,但仍以“轻度失调”和“濒临失调”类型为主;③2020年协调状态变化主要出现在济南市,其中长清区由“轻度失调”上调至“濒临失调”,槐荫区与天桥区跃升至“适度协调”类型;④2005—2020年第三产业对协调度的影响不断增强,三大产业交互驱动效应显著增强。因此,应加强黄河流域山东段的生态保护(尤其黄河三角洲地区),统筹优化区域产业结构,加快产业转型升级,从而提升研究区整体“三生”功能耦合协调水平,助力黄河流域山东段绿色高质量可持续发展。

       

      Abstract: This study aims to explore the spatiotemporal evolution and coupling coordination mechanisms of the production-living-ecological (PLE) functions in the Shandong section of the Yellow River basin. First, using land use data from 1980, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020, this study developed a PLE space evaluation system. Then, by integrating methods such as hot spot analysis and coupling coordination degree models, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution and coupling coordination characteristics of the PLE space in the Shandong section. Finally, driving factors influencing the coupling coordination degree of the PLE functions were explored using an optimal parameters-based geographical detector. The results indicate that within the study periods, the production-ecological space was extensively distributed, representing the highest proportion. Meanwhile, the living-production space expanded constantly, while the ecological space in the Yellow River delta shrank remarkably. The coupling coordination degree of the PLE functions across the Shandong section exhibited a slowly upward trend. However, the coupling relationships were dominated by mild and nearly incoordination. In 2020, the coupling state changed primarily in Jinan City, improving from mild incoordination to nearly incoordination in Changqing District and leaping to moderate coordination in Huaiyin and Tianqiao districts. From 2005 to 2020, the tertiary industry exerted an increasing impact on the coupling coordination degree, while the interactions among the three major industries produced significantly enhanced driving effects on the degree. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen ecosystem conservation in the Shandong section of the Yellow River basin, especially in the Yellow River delta, comprehensively optimize the regional industrial structure, and accelerate industrial transformation and upgrading. These efforts will improve the overall coupling coordination degree of the PLE functions in the Shandong section, contributing to its green, high-quality, and sustainable development.

       

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