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    基于长时序MODIS的河北省生态质量监测及气候响应

    Monitoring of ecological quality in Hebei Province based on long-time-series MODIS data and its responses to climate change

    • 摘要: 为研究气候变化与地形、人类活动对河北省生态质量的影响,该文基于2003—2023年长时序MODIS遥感数据,利用遥感生态指数(remote sensing ecological index,RSEI)对河北省生态环境质量进行监测,结合最优参数地理探测器方法分析地形、气候、土地利用等因子的驱动作用。结果表明: ①河北省生态质量以中等(39.21%)和较差(32.51%)为主,空间上呈现“东北、中部高,西北、东南低”的格局; ②2003—2023年,全省生态质量总体改善,RSEI好与较好等级面积年均分别增长279 km2和1 030 km2; ③生态显著改善区域占42.9%,主要以太行山、燕山林草地及东南部耕地为主, 显著退化区仅占4.9%,集中于石家庄、保定等城市扩张带及张北草原; ④生态质量主导因子为土地利用类型、坡度和高程,气候因子中日照时数、降水量和气温影响力依次递减,交互作用探测中,气候因子间及其与地形的交互均呈非线性增强效应,草地生态系统对气候变化的敏感性显著高于农田和城市用地。该研究可为气候变化背景下区域生态治理措施制定提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: This study aims to investigate the impacts of climate change, terrain, and human activities on ecological quality in Hebei Province. Based on the long-time-series MODIS data from 2003 to 2023, this study monitored the ecological quality in Hebei Province using the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI). Employing an optimal parameters-based geographical detector (OPGD), this study analyzed the driving effects of terrain, climate, and land use factors on ecological quality. The results indicate that from 2003 to 2023, the ecological quality in Hebei Province was moderate (39.21%) and poor (32.51%) primarily, presenting a spatial pattern characterized by higher quality in the northeastern and central parts and lower quality in the northwest and southeast. The ecological quality in the province was improved overall during the period, with the areas with good and fair ecological quality exhibiting average annual increases of 279 km2 and 1 030 km2, respectively. Areas with significantly improved ecological quality accounted for 42.9%, consisting primarily of forests and grasslands in the Taihang and Yanshan mountains, as well as cultivated land in southeastern Hebei. Areas with significantly degraded ecological quality accounted for merely 4.9%, concentrated in the Zhangbei Grassland and the urban expansion zones of Shijiazhuang and Baoding. Primary factors influencing the ecological quality included land-use type, slope, and elevation. The influence of climatic factors on ecological quality decreased in the order of sunshine, precipitation, and temperature. Interaction detection revealed that the interactions between various climatic factors and those between climatic factors and terrain all exhibited nonlinear enhancement effects. Compared to cultivated land and urban areas, grassland ecosystems demonstrated significantly higher sensitivity to climate change. The results of this study can provide a scientific basis for formulating regional ecosystem management measures against the backdrop of climate change.

       

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