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    最佳尺度下的成都市景观生态风险评价

    Landscape ecological risk assessment of Chengdu City on the optimal scale

    • 摘要: 成都市近年来经历了快速的城市化进程,景观格局发生了显著变化。该研究以2000年、2010年、2020年3期的GlobeLand30土地利用覆盖数据为基础,利用变异系数法、粒度响应曲线和信息损失模型确定最佳的分析粒度,利用网格法和半方差函数确定最佳幅度。然后基于最佳尺度构建景观生态风险评估模型,分析其时空演变特征和空间相关性。结果表明: ①研究区景观格局分析的最佳粒度为90 m,最佳幅度为5 km×5 km; ②2000—2020年成都市土地类型转变趋势较为明显,其中耕地与人造地表之间的转换最为显著; ③成都市景观生态风险空间差异显著,呈现“西低东高”的格局,低风险区域主要分布在中心城区且向四周不断扩张; ④在具有显著性的空间聚集类别中,低-低聚类和高-高聚类是成都市景观生态风险的主要类型,成都市整体景观生态风险呈下降趋势,但东西部不平衡,草地和水体的景观生态风险仍处于较高状态。该研究可为快速城市化区域的用地管理、格局优化及风险管控提供决策依据。

       

      Abstract: Chengdu City has undergone rapid urbanization in recent years, leading to significant changes in its landscape patterns. Based on GlobeLand30 land use and coverage data in 2000, 2010, and 2020, this study determined the optimal analysis granularity using the coefficient of variation, granularity response curves, and an information loss model while also defining the optimal extent using the grid method and a semi-variogram function. Subsequently, a landscape ecological risk assessment model was constructed on the optimal scale, followed by the analysis of both the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and spatial correlation of landscape ecological risks. The results indicate that the optimal granularity and extent for landscape pattern analysis of Chengdu are 90 m and 5 km× 5 km, respectively. From 2000 to 2020, approximately 0.6% of areas in Chengdu underwent land type conversion annually, with the most significant conversion occurring between cultivated land and artificial surfaces. The landscape ecological risks in Chengdu differed significantly in space, being lower in the west and higher in the east. Low-risk areas were concentrated in the central urban district, expanding outward over time. Among the statistically significant spatial clusters, low-low and high-high clusters were identified as the primary landscape ecological risk types in Chengdu. The landscape ecological risks in the city trended downward overall. However, these risks remained unbalanced between the eastern and western parts, with grassland and cultivated land still facing relatively high ecological risks. Overall, this study can provide a decision-making basis for land use management, pattern optimization, and risk management and control in areas undergoing rapid urbanization.

       

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