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    典型GPP遥感产品在西南地区的时空差异及不确定性研究

    Spatiotemporal differences and uncertainties of representative remote-sensing-based gross primary production products in Southwest China

    • 摘要: 植被总初级生产力(gross primary production,GPP)是评估生态系统碳汇潜力的核心指标,准确获取GPP对实现碳达峰碳中和目标至关重要。该研究采用差异分析、单因素方差分析及三角帽等方法,分析中分辨率成像光谱辐射计(moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer,MODIS)GPP、呼吸地球模拟器模型(breathing Earth system simulator,BESS)GPP和基于OCO-2卫星的日光诱导叶绿素荧光产品(global OCO-2-based solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence,GOSIF)GPP这3种典型GPP遥感产品的时空格局差异及不确定性。结果表明: ①3种GPP遥感产品在西南地区空间分布格局相近,MODIS和GOSIF产品的空间差异较小,BESS和MODIS产品的空间差异较大; ②3种产品的季节性变化特征一致,季节性最小值在12月,最大值在7月,1月初—5月上旬和9月中旬—12月底MODIS GPP的值均高于其他2种,5月上旬—9月中旬GOSIF GPP的值明显大于其他2种; ③研究时段内西南地区GPP呈显著增加趋势,且GOSIF GPP呈显著增加趋势的像元占比更高; ④3种产品随地形变化的趋势类似,但数值存在差异,相对不确定性从高到低依次为GOSIF GPP>BESS GPP>MODIS GPP。该研究结果可为深入了解不同模型表现提供参考,为掌握西南地区碳汇潜力及制定合理路径提供依据。

       

      Abstract: The gross primary production (GPP) of vegetation acts as a key indicator for assessing the carbon sink potential of ecosystems. Accurate GPP estimation holds great significance for achieving the goals of peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutrality. Using the difference analysis, one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), and three-cornered hat (TCH) methods, this study investigated the spatiotemporal differences and uncertainties of three representative remote-sensing-based GPP products: the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Breathing Earth System Simulator (BESS), and the global OCO-2-based solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (GOSIF). The results indicate that GPP values of southwestern China, derived from three products, showed similar spatial distribution patterns. Minor spatial differences were observed between GPP values from MODIS and GOSIF, while significant spatial differences were identified between GPP values from MODIS and BESS. All three GPP products demonstrated consistent seasonal variation patterns, with the minimum and maximum values occurring in December and July, respectively. From early January to early May and from mid-September to late December, GPP values from MODIS were higher than those from the other two products. In contrast, from early May to mid-September, GPP values from GOSIF were remarkably greater than those from the remaining two products. The GPP values of southwestern China showed a distinct upward trend over the study period. Notably, GOSIF yielded the highest ratio of pixels with a significant increasing trend in GPP values compared to the remaining two products. Additionally, despite different magnitudes, GPP values from the three products showed similar trends under varying terrain, with relative uncertainty decreasing in the order of GOSIF, BESS, and MODIS. These findings provide a reference for gaining a deep understanding of the performance of different models, thereby offering a scientific basis for determining the carbon sink potential and formulating reasonable pathways for southwestern China.

       

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