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    联合SBAS-InSAR与灰色关联模型的涉水滑坡识别与形变因素分析

    Identification and deformation factor analysis of wading landslide based on SBAS-InSAR and a grey relational analysis model

    • 摘要: 四川省锦屏一级水电站的建设改变了小金河两岸的水文地质条件,导致多处边坡前缘涉水,引发边坡失稳问题。该研究基于升降轨SBAS-InSAR技术反演了2021年12月—2024年3月小金河两岸的地表形变场,并在此基础上结合遥感水位监测方法与灰色关联模型,量化水位和降水对滑坡形变的影响。结果表明: ①小金河两岸共识别出40处涉水滑坡,其中6处为高风险滑坡; ②水位与形变的平均灰色关联度为0.776,降水与形变的平均关联度为0.658,水位是涉水滑坡形变的主要因素,水位与形变具有强关联性-强差异性的特征,而降水呈现弱关联性-弱差异性特征; ③以腊窝滑坡为例的关联分析进一步表明,水位对形变的影响高于降水,特别是在水位下降过程中,坡体稳定性显著降低,需重点加强监测与防范。该研究不仅是对高山峡谷区涉水滑坡触发机制的重要补充,而且为滑坡防控、地质灾害预警系统的参数设定提供了科学依据。

       

      Abstract: The construction of the Jinping Ⅰ Hydropower Station has changed the hydrogeological conditions on both banks of the Xiaojin River. This leads to water immersion at the front edges of multiple slopes, posing a risk of slope instability. Using small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology based on ascending and descending orbit data, this study determined the surface deformation fields on both banks of the Xiaojin River in the period from December 2021 to March 2024 through inversion. On this basis, the impacts of water level and precipitation on landslide deformation were further quantified by combining remote sensing-based water level monitoring and a grey relational analysis (GRA) model. The results indicate the presence of a total of 40 wading landslides along the Xiaojin River, including six high-risk landslides. The average grey relational degree between water level and landslide deformation was 0.776, and that between precipitation and landslide deformation was 0.658. Therefore, water level was identified as a primary contributor to landslide deformation, with strong correlation and significant discrepancy identified between both. In contrast, weak correlation and insignificant discrepancy were determined between precipitation and landslide deformation. The GRA results of the Lawo landslide further confirm that water level produced a greater impact on landslide deformation than precipitation. Especially during a drop in water level, the slope stability significantly decreased, highlighting the need for intensified monitoring and prevention. This study provides important supplementary information on the triggering mechanisms of wading landslides in high-mountain and canyon areas. Furthermore, it offers a scientific basis for landslide prevention and control and for the parameter setting of the early warning systems for geologic disasters.

       

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