摘要构建区域绿色基础设施(green infrastructure, GI)网络可缓解快速城市化进程中土地利用与生态发展的矛盾,对未来的城市规划具有重要作用。以我国西南地区典型山地城市临沧市为例,利用未来土地利用模拟(patch-generating land use simulation, PLUS)模型预测2030年临沧市在生态优先情景下的土地利用和土地覆盖(land use and land cover, LULC); 在此基础上,整合形态空间格局分析(morphological spatial pattern analysis, MSPA)、最小累积阻力(minimum cumulative resistance, MCR)模型和电路理论提取生态源地和生态廊道,构建一个经过优化的适应临沧市未来可持续城市扩张的2030年GI网络。结果表明: 预测2020—2030年间,临沧市建设用地面积增加约23%,林地、草地面积分别减少0.2%和1.3%,由于合理的治理与保护,水域增长率高达46.9%; GI景观要素核心区面积占56.12%,边缘占21.3%,支线、桥接区、孤岛、穿孔、环道占比较小,5个总占比为22.6%; 在可持续的城市扩张情景下,GI规模变化不明显,建成区的GI相对分散,优化后的GI网络将由12个生态源地和24的生态廊道组成。研究基于MSPA-PLUS模型构建临沧市2030年GI网络,为临沧市和其他山地城市规划提供新思路,对GI保护和维护区域生态安全具有重要意义。
Constructing a regional green infrastructure (GI) network can alleviate the contradiction between land use and ecological development in the process of rapid urbanization, playing a significant role in future urban planning. This study investigated Lincang City, a typical mountain city in Southwest China. Employing the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model, this study predicted the land use and land cover (LULC) in Lincang City in 2030 under the ecological priority scenario. Furthermore, this study extracted information about the ecological source areas and corridors by integrating the morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA), minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model, and circuit theory. Finally, this study constructed an optimized GI network for 2030 adapted to the sustainable expansion of Lincang City. The results show that from 2020 to 2030, the construction land area in Lincang City is projected to expand by about 23 %, while forest land and grassland will decrease by 0.2 % and 1.3 %, respectively. The water area is expected to increase by 46.9 % under reasonable management and protection. The core zone of GI landscape elements will represent 56.12% of the total area, while the edges will make up 21.3%. The spurs, bridging zones, islets, perforations, and circuits will constitute the rest 22.6%. Under the sustainable urban expansion scenario, the GI scale remains overall stable, with a relatively scattered distribution in built-up areas. The optimized GI network will involve 12 ecological source areas and 24 ecological corridors. The GI network of Lincang City in 2030 constructed based on the MSPA-PLUS model strengthens the understanding of the GI network for the sustainable development of a mountain city, adapting to future urban development. This study provides novel insights into the urban planning of mountain cities including Lincang and critical implications for GI protection and regional ecological security maintenance.
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