黔东南稳定林地地表反照率时空变化与影响因子分析
Spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors of the stable forest land surface albedo in southeastern Guizhou Province
通讯作者: 刘绥华(1977-),男,博士,副教授,主要从事地理信息系统与遥感研究。Email:lsh23h@163.com。
责任编辑: 李瑜
收稿日期: 2022-12-7 修回日期: 2023-03-20
基金资助: |
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Received: 2022-12-7 Revised: 2023-03-20
作者简介 About authors
袁 娜(1995-),女,硕士,研究方向为地理信息与遥感。Email:
地表反照率直接影响地-气系统辐射平衡和地表能量收支。稳定林地植被生态完整,区域小气候相对稳定,且与地表反照率之间关系复杂。该文以黔东南稳定林地为例,基于MODIS 地表反照率(MCD43A3)、增强型植被指数(enhanced vegetation index,EVI)(MOD13Q1)、土地利用(MOD12Q1)与土壤水分、气温、降水数据,使用Theil-Sen(T-S)和Mann-Kendall (M-K)趋势分析、相关分析和多元回归分析,探究黔东南稳定林地地表反照率时空变化、与各因子相关性以及驱动因子。结果表明: ①稳定林地地表反照率在年际、生长季和休眠季分别在0.102~0.112,0.110~0.113和0.099~0.102间波动上升,整体趋势较平稳,呈中部低、四周高的空间分布格局。②在年际和生长季期,地表反照率与土壤水分呈显著负相关,相关系数分别为-0.951和-0.943; 在休眠季地表反照率与EVI呈显著正相关,相关系数为0.933。③地表反照率在年际、生长季、休眠季分别受EVI、气温负向驱动和土壤水分正向驱动,其标准化系数分别为-9.168,-11.332和1.319。该文研究结论有利于正确认识黔东南稳定林地地表反照率的驱动机制,从而为低纬度小区域林地气候变化提供参考依据。
关键词:
Land surface albedo (LSA) directly affects the radiation balance and surface energy balance of the earth-atmosphere system. Stable forest land exhibits integrated ecological vegetation, a relatively stable regional microclimate, and an intricate relationship with LSA. Based on the MODIS LSA (MCD43A3), enhanced vegetation index (EVI,MOD13Q1), land use (MOD12Q1), soil moisture, air temperature, and precipitation data, this study investigated the spatio-temporal variations in LSA of stable forest land in southeastern Guizhou Province, as well as their correlation with various factors and driving factors, through Theil-Sen (T-S)/Mann-Kendall (M-K) trend analysis, correlation analysis, and multiple regression analysis. The results show that: ① The stable forest land exhibited LSAs varying between 0.102~0.112, 0.110~0.113, and 0.099~0.102, respectively in the interannual period, growing season, and dormant season. These suggest an overall stable trend and a spatial distribution pattern characterized by low values in the central portion and high values in surrounding areas; ② The LSA was significantly negatively correlated with soil moisture in the inter-annual period and the growing season, with correlation coefficients of -0.951 and -0.943, respectively. In the dormant season, the LSA was significantly positively correlated with EVI, with a correlation coefficient of 0.933; ③ The LSA was subjected to the negative driving by EVI and air temperature and positive driving by soil moisture in the interannual period, growing season, and dormant season, with standardized coefficients of -9.168, -11.332, and 1.319, respectively. The results of this study can assist in accurately understanding the driving mechanism behind the LSA of stable forest land in southeastern Guizhou Province, thereby providing a reference for studying the climate change of forest land in small areas at low latitudes.
Keywords:
本文引用格式
袁娜, 刘绥华, 胡海涛, 尹霞, 宋善海.
YUAN Na, LIU Suihua, HU Haitao, YIN Xia, SONG Shanhai.
0 引言
林地是地表重要组成部分,并通过多种生物化学机制与气候密切联系起来[5],黔东南是贵州省重点林业资源分布区,稳定林地占黔东南总面积的58.777%,而稳定林地植被类型丰富没有受到破坏,区域内的小气候相对稳定,对区域地-气能量平衡、物质循环、生态环境具有重要影响。目前国内外针对林地反照率时空变化特征对区域地-气能量平衡已有许多研究。Planque等[6]研究得出在长时间序列中法国稳定森林覆盖区由于归一化植被指数(normalized difference vegetation index,NDVI)逐渐增加,反照率趋于下降; Kuusinen等[7]对芬兰北部、中部森林不同树种反照率变化及其影响因子研究中发现反照率随森林生长量的增加而呈下降趋势,但在生长量达到一定量度时反照率的下降趋势逐渐趋于稳定; 赵久佳等[8]的研究表明中国北方森林覆盖转换为常绿针叶林和灌丛时地表反照率呈明显的下降趋势,与其他转换类型相比其生态功能最佳; Bonan[9]发现热带森林低反照率导致气温增加,而原本应增加的气温被强烈的蒸发冷却和吸收CO2所抵消。以上研究表明国内外对林地和地表反照率的研究多集中在北半球中高纬地区和赤道地区,对亚热带稳定林地地表反照率变化及相关影响的研究较少,尚未明晰在气候变化背景下低纬度稳定林地地表反照率的驱动机理。地表反照率受多种因素共同影响,一定时空范围内的降水、气温和植被指数的时空变化差异产生的机制机理可反映该时空范围内地表反照率变化规律[10]。土壤水分的增减影响太阳净辐射变化,进而导致大气辐合上升、对流云和降水的变化。因此选用气温、降水、增强型植被指数(enhanced vegetation index,EVI)、土壤水分讨论其对稳定林地地表反照率的影响。
黔东南常年多云雾,因此采用中高分辨率卫星遥感进行长时间序列观测显得尤为重要。故本研究以黔东南2003—2018年稳定林地覆盖区为例,利用MODIS卫星中分辨率MCD43A3反照率产品进行长时间对比分析年际、生长季(5—9月)、休眠季(10月—次年4月)地表反照率的时空变化特征,可揭示黔东南稳定林地地表反照率的驱动机制,弄清稳定林地与低纬度小区域气候响应的相互关系,并为全球气候变化对低纬度林地生态系统影响的研究提供支撑资料。
1 研究区概况及数据源
1.1 研究区概况
图1
图1
黔东南位置及2003—2018年稳定林地分布情况
Fig.1
Location of Qiandongnan and distribution of stable forest land from 2003 to 2018
1.2 数据源及处理
式中:
由于黔东南多云雨天气导致MODIS MCD43A3地表反照率数据存在空缺值,不能完整展现每个月份影像。因此本文使用ArcGIS叠合每月MODIS反照率影像的并集,再求得每个栅格均值。EVI使用MODIS MOD13Q1,时间分辨率16 d,空间分辨率250 m,该产品最大限度地减少了冠层背景变化,对高植被覆盖度具有很强的敏感性[13]。
土壤水分数据采用国家青藏高原科学数据中心,中国土壤水分数据集(2003—2018年),时间分辨率为月,空间分辨率0.05°。气温、降水数据使用中国地面气候资料日值数据集(V3.0),时间分辨率为日值。土地利用数据采用2003和2018年MODIS MCD12Q1数据集,使用其IGBP分类规则产品(图1)。在ArcGIS中使用相交工具提取相同植被类型。本文在分析时均对时间分辨率重采样到月,空间分辨率重采样到500 m。以上数据质量均符合本文需求。
2 研究方法
2.1 趋势分析
式中:
2.2 相关分析
相关分析常用于研究地表反照率与各变量间的密切程度,相关系数取值范围为[-1,1],大于0呈正相关,越接近1相关性越大,反之亦然,计算公式为:
式中: R为X和Y的相关系数;
2.3 相对重要性分析
多元回归分析旨在建造自变量与因变量之间的线性关系,展现多种自变量与一种因变量影响强度,而在长时间序列中地表反照率被多种环境因子共同影响[15],使用多元回归分析具有实用意义。本文基于栅格尺度量化每个栅格的相对重要性,并对回归系数进行标准化,取标准化系数绝对值最大的变量作为该栅格影响因变量的最重要变量。
3 研究结果
3.1 地表反照率时空变化趋势
图2
图2
2003—2018年稳定林地地表反照率时间变化趋势
Fig.2
Temporal trends in surface albedo of stable forest land during 2003—2018
从图3可得,年际、生长季和休眠季地表反照率均呈中间低、四周高的分布格局,在3个时段中,研究区边缘平均约12.338%的零星区域反照率呈微显著、显著和极显著增加,中部约10.081%的零星区域呈微显著、显著和极显著减少。图4中,2003—2010年约40.415%的区域地表反照率呈增加趋势,主要分布于北部、东部、南部等边缘部分; 2011—2018年地表反照率增加区域转移到西北部,约占总面积的34.804%,可见该阶段东部区域植被状态比2003—2010年良好。总体上看,稳定林地地表反照率中部低、四周高,并由东向西增加。这主要由于中部区域分布混交林、常绿阔叶林,EVI值常年较高,叶面积较大,而冠层可大量吸收可见光波段,导致地表反照率下降[18]。四周边缘靠近城镇,以稀树草原为主,EVI值较低,人类活动频繁,地表粗糙度较大,导致地表反照率较高。
图3
图3
2003—2018年稳定林地地表反照率年际、生长季和休眠季空间变化趋势
Fig.3
Interannual, growing season and dormant season spatial trends in surface albedo of stable forest land during 2003—2018
图4
图4
2003—2010年、2011—2018年稳定林地地表反照率空间变化趋势
Fig.4
Spatial trends in surface albedo of stable forest land during 2003—2010 and 2011—2018
3.2 地表反照率与各因子的相关性
在年际尺度上,地表反照率与各因子的相关性如图5所示,生长季地表反射率与各因子的相关性如图6所示。由图5可知,土壤水分与地表反照率正负相关性最高,分别为0.919和-0.951。其中约7.551%呈正相关的区域通过0.005的显著性检验,主要分布于中部和西南部植被覆盖度高的区域,该区域植被常年繁茂需水量大,土壤水分较低,可能导致该区域地表反照率与土壤水分的正相关性; 约5.486%呈负相关的面积通过0.005的显著性检验,主要分布稳定林地边缘,符合地表反照率随土壤水分减少而增加[19]。地表反照率与气温和降水仅在西部和东部边缘零星区域呈正相关其余大部分为负相关,分别约5.227%和5.077%的面积通过0.005的显著性检验,主要分布于东北-西南一线,这主要由于该区域气温高降水多在促进植被生长的同时,也降低了地表反照率[19]。EVI仅在东部和南部边缘通过0.005显著性检验与反照率呈正相关。在年际变化中,各因子与反照率的相关系数绝对值大小排序为: 土壤水分>气温>降水>EVI。
图5
图5
2003—2018年稳定林地年际地表反照率与各因子的相关性
Fig.5
Correlation between interannual surface albedo and various factors on stable forest land from 2003 to 2018
图6
图6
2003—2018年稳定林地生长季地表反照率与各因子的相关性
Fig.6
Correlation of surface albedo with each factor in the growing season of stable forest land from 2003 to 2018
休眠季地表反照率与各因子相关系数绝对值大小排序为: EVI>土壤水分>气温>降水。图7为2003—2018年稳定林地休眠季地表反照率与各因子的相关性,如图所示,在EVI和地表反照率的相关性空间分布中,约1 316.386 km2通过0.005显著性检验,其中二者呈正相关的区域占91.508%,主要分布在除中部、中北部以外的大部分区域。土壤水分与地表反照率的相关性分布与年际和生长季类似。气温与地表反照率约11.491%的面积通过0.005显著性检验,主要呈负相关,分布于东南部、中部和东北部大部分区域。降水与反照率主要呈负相关,相关系数较低。
图7
图7
2003—2018年稳定林地休眠季地表反照率与各因子的相关性
Fig.7
Correlation of surface albedo with each factor in the dormant season of stable forest land from 2003 to 2018
综上所述,不同时段气象因子、EVI和土壤水分与地表反照率正负相关性的空间分布大致相同,但由于区域植被类型和覆盖度等差异,导致反照率与各因子的相关性在分布上仍存在一定差异。
3.3 地表反照率驱动因素
稳定林地地表反照率驱动因子采用多元回归分析。如表1所示,提取标准化系数绝对值最大值,分别得到年际、生长季和休眠季地表反照率的驱动因子排序: EVI>土壤水分>气温>降水,气温>EVI>土壤水分>降水,土壤水分>气温>EVI>降水。
表1 2003—2018年黔东南地表反照率驱动因子标准化系数绝对值
Tab.1
驱动因子 | 休眠季 | 生长季 | 年均值 |
---|---|---|---|
降水 | 0.889 | 1.892 | 1.371 |
气温 | 1.199 | 11.332 | 1.564 |
EVI | 1.197 | 6.287 | 9.168 |
土壤水分 | 1.319 | 1.508 | 2.246 |
图8
图8
2003—2018年反照率与各因子在年度均值、生长季和休眠季的相对重要性的空间分布
Fig.8
Spatial distribution of albedo with relative importance of each factor in annual mean, growing and dormant seasons from 2003 to 2018
在生长季,研究区约总面积的21.489%的区域地表反照率受气温驱动。在中东部和西部部分区域地表反照率受气温驱动力最大,且呈负向驱动,这可能与生长季气温上升,在促进植被生长的同时,植被通过光合作用对可见光波段大量吸收导致地表反照率下降[22]; 在西南部向北一线呈正相关,但气温驱动力小分布范围广。在西南部、西北部和中部零星区域地表反照率受EVI负向驱动较大,边缘区域EVI正向驱动力较小。土壤水分和降水对地表反照率驱动力均较小。
休眠季各因子对地表反照率的驱动力与年际和生长季相比整体较小,主要受土壤水分驱动,在中部区域正向驱动力最大,在北部和东部边缘区域呈负向驱动。研究区在休眠季受气温驱动的面积最广,约占总面积的41.512%,其中除西北小部分区域呈正向驱动外其他区域均呈负向驱动。地表反照率受EVI驱动的区域与年际和生长季类似,但休眠季地表反照率受EVI的正向驱动,仅在中部零星区域受EVI负向驱动。休眠季地表反照率受降水驱动最小,主要呈负向驱动。
4 讨论
研究区地表反照率在年际、生长季和休眠季均呈缓慢上升,整体变化趋势平稳且空间分布均呈中部减少、四周增加。2003—2010年研究区东部地表反照率呈上升趋势,而在2011—2018年则向西部转移,究其原因主要受西部区域进行大规模城市化建设、人口增多和经济活动频繁等的影响,导致该区域地-气系统能量收支平衡受到干扰,而在中部区域林地较集中,较少受到干扰,反照率变化较小。可见人类活动对稳定林地的影响是有限的并存在一定的过渡区域。
从相对重要性分析结果来看,在年际尺度上研究区地表反照率受EVI负向驱动[13],说明研究区森林构成的物种虽然复杂但地处亚热带湿润气候区,仍以常绿植被为主,EVI值较高且稳定,导致反照率较低,因此在年际长时间序列对比中削弱了土壤湿度、气温和降水驱动力。在生长季地表反照率受气温负向驱动,表明在生长季期,气温快速上升,植被加速生长,植被蒸散较大,土壤含水量降低,使得反照率逐渐下降,此时研究区由于植物物种空间分布(图1)的差异,EVI的异质性依然很大[20],从而导致植被在生长季的反照率在空间上存在较大差异,EVI影响力度下降,使得地表反照率在气温驱动下EVI、土壤水分和降水影响力降低。研究区休眠季地表反照率主要受土壤水分正向驱动,且受EVI正向和气温负向驱动与土壤水分的驱动力相近,表明休眠季相对于年际和生长季植被覆盖度降低使得反照率降低,气温降低促使反照率上升,使二者在一定程度上相互抵消。同时该时段研究区气温较低降水减少,植被覆盖降低地表裸露较大使得地表粗糙度增大,从而使土壤湿度偏低而减少反照率。
稳定林地地表反照率受多种因素共同影响,如植被类型、疏密程度、太阳高度角等因子,在接下来的研究中将进一步明确其他因子与林地地表反照率的内在联系。
5 结论
本研究使用2003—2018年的MCD43A3地表反照率数据分析了黔东南稳定林地地表反照率在年际、生长季和休眠季的时空变化、与各因子的相关性及主要驱动因子,研究结果归纳如下:
1)研究区地表反照率在年际、生长季和休眠季整体呈缓慢上升趋势,均呈中部低、四周高的空间分布格局,地表反照率大小排序分别为: 生长季>年际>休眠季。其中生长季上升幅度最大。2003—2018年间由东部高地表反照率转移到西部。
2)研究区地表反照率与各因子在年际、生长季中与土壤水分高度负相关,均分布于稳定林地边缘,休眠季与EVI高度正相关性,分布于东部、南部、西南部和中部区域。
3)在长时间序列中,年际、生长季和休眠季的地表反照率分别受EVI、气温负向驱动和土壤水分正向驱动,标准化系数绝对值分别为9.168,11.332和1.319。
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在全球气候变暖的背景下,地表反照率已成为地表辐射平衡和气候研究的重要参数之一。利用中国陆地生态系统研究网络(Chinese Ecosystem Research Network,CERN)提供的34个站点辐射数据、GLASS地表反照率产品、ERA-Interim再分析资料、MODIS EVI(MOD13A3)和中国气象数据共享网提供的气象数据,基于Sen's Slope趋势分析方法,分析不同生态系统地表反照率的变化特征;利用全子集回归和分层分解方法计算地表反照率与各要素之间的相关性和相对重要性;探讨各气候因子对地表反照率的影响。结果表明,2000—2017年裸土地和裸岩砾石地变化率最大,冬季斜率达-0.083% yr<sup>-1</sup>。生长季地表反照率与降水、增强型植被指数(Enhanced Vegetation Index,EVI)、土壤水分和气温显著相关的像元分别占总像元的73%、79%、56%和86%。EVI是干旱和半干旱地区地表反照率变化的主导因素,其对地表反照率变化的独立贡献率分别为41%和56.18%。7月东北地区降水量和气温对地表反照率的影响大约滞后2个月;内蒙古沙漠地区和长江中下游平原土壤水分对地表反照率的影响大约滞后1~2个月。
Variations of land surface albedo and its influencing factors in China from 2000 to 2017
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In the context of global warming, land surface albedo has become one of the important input parameters for climate simulation. The radiation data of 34 sites provided by Chinese Ecosystem Research Network (CERN), GLASS land surface albedo products, ERA-Interim reanalysis data, MODIS EVI (MOD13A3) and meteorological data provided by China Meteorological Administration were used to analyze the variation characteristics of the land surface albedo in different ecosystems based on Sen's Slope trend analysis; correlations and relative importance between land surface albedo and climate variables were calculated using all-subsets regression and hierarchical partitioning methods. The results showed that the bare land and rock or gravel land had the largest slope value from 2000 to 2017, being -0.083% yr-1 in winter. Pixels with significant correlations between land surface albedo and precipitation, EVI, soil moisture, and temperature during the growing season accounted for 73%, 79%, 56%, and 86% of the total pixels, respectively. EVI was the dominant factor in the change of land surface albedo in arid and semi-arid regions, and the independent contribution rates of these two types of regions were 41% and 56.18%, respectively. The effects of precipitation and temperature on land surface albedo in Northeast China in July lagged about 2 months. The influence of soil moisture on land surface albedo lagged about 1-2 months in the desert areas of Inner Mongolia and Middle-Lower Yangtze River Plain.
基于MODIS数据地表反照率时空变化特征及影响因子研究
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Spatial and temporal variations of land surface albedo and its influencing factors based on MODIS data
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