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A study on the characteristics and model of drought in Xinjiang based on multi-source data |
QIN Dahui1(), YANG Ling1, CHEN Lunchao1, DUAN Yunfei1, JIA Hongliang1, LI Zhenpei1, MA Jianqin2 |
1. School of Civil Engineering and Geomatics, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China 2. School of Water Conservancy, North China University of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power, Zhengzhou 450046, China |
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Abstract An improved and comprehensive drought monitoring model was developed in this study. Given multi-genetic types such as the interaction of atmospheric precipitation, vegetation growth, and elevation, multiple data sources were selected for the model, including EOS-MODIS data, TRMM precipitation data, and the region SRTM-DEM(digital elevation model) data from 2001 to 2019 in Xinjiang. The parameters including precipitation concentration index (PCI), temperature and vegetation drought index (TVDI), and DEM were calculated, and the principal component analysis (PCA) method was employed to establish the model. Then, the model was used to analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of drought in the study area. The analytical results show that the annual occurrence frequency of drought in the study area from 2001 to 2019 was high in the middle part and low in the surrounding areas. In addition, drought struck 47.7% of the study area, and the occurrence frequency of drought reached 60% in 32.3% of the drought regions. Meanwhile, drought was concentrated in the Tarim and Turpan basins. The changing trends of drought in the study area differed greatly. For the linear regression slope of drought from March and September, the absolute values of the positive slope were far greater than those of the negative slope. Based on this, it can be predicted that the drought in the study area mainly included spring and summer droughts in 2020.
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Keywords
drought monitoring
multi-source data
principal component analysis
spatio-temporal evolution
trend analysis
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Issue Date: 14 March 2022
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