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Remote Sensing for Land & Resources    2021, Vol. 33 Issue (2) : 66-74     DOI: 10.6046/gtzyyg.2020207
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The estimation of PM2.5 mass concentration based on fine-mode aerosol and WRF model
WEI Geng(), HOU Yuqiao, HAN Jiamei, ZHA Yong()
School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China
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Abstract  

The addition of meteorological factors to the estimation of near-ground atmospheric particulate concentration based on AOD is one of the most popular techniques nowadays. In this paper, AOD (Aerosol Optical Depth), FMF (Fine-Mode Fraction) and PM2.5mass concentration data from March 2014 to February 2019 in Nanjing were obtained, and the mass concentration of PM2.5 in Nanjing was retrieved in combination with the meteorological simulation data from WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) model. The results show that, compared with correlation between AOD and PM2.5, the correlation analysis of fine aerosol optical depth AODf and PM2.5 obtained by FMF correction can obtain a higher fitting coefficient, and the maximum R2 reaches 0.40. By adding meteorological factors on different heights into random forest model to establish an inversion model for PM2.5 mass concentration, the obtained fitting coefficients and various error indicators are better than those from models with only near-surface meteorological factors, which indicates that the PM2.5 mass concentration is affected by the combined effect of multiple factors, thus the result can provide a basis and reference for inversion of PM2.5 mass concentration by using multi-source data.

Keywords MODIS      FMF      WRF model      PM2.5      mass concentration estimation     
ZTFLH:  P407X87  
Corresponding Authors: ZHA Yong     E-mail: 347128908@qq.com;yzha@njnu.edu.cn
Issue Date: 21 July 2021
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Geng WEI
Yuqiao HOU
Jiamei HAN
Yong ZHA
Cite this article:   
Geng WEI,Yuqiao HOU,Jiamei HAN, et al. The estimation of PM2.5 mass concentration based on fine-mode aerosol and WRF model[J]. Remote Sensing for Land & Resources, 2021, 33(2): 66-74.
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https://www.gtzyyg.com/EN/10.6046/gtzyyg.2020207     OR     https://www.gtzyyg.com/EN/Y2021/V33/I2/66
参数 采用方案
地图投影 Lambert投影
垂直分层嵌套层数 14层
嵌套层数 3层
微物理过程 Lin 方案
积云参数化 Kain-Fritsch 方案
边界层参数化 Mellor-Yamada-Janjic湍流动能方案
陆面过程 Noah 方案
短波辐射 Dudhia 方案
长波辐射 RRTM方案
Tab.1  Parameter schemes of WRF mode
Fig.1  Annual and quarterly average concentrations of AOD and PM2.5. in Nanjing
Fig.2  Correlation between PM2.5 and AODm
Fig.3  Correlation between PM2.5 and AODf
仅含地面气象因子 包含不同高度气象因子
季节 R2 RMSE MAE MAPE/% R2 RMSE MAE MAPE/%
春季 0.57 14.97 15.56 34.03 0.71 10.03 10.98 28.35
夏季 0.71 11.45 13.50 34.85 0.74 6.83 7.68 23.19
秋季 0.62 18.77 18.52 39.07 0.71 13.27 14.15 38.92
冬季 0.65 20.59 25.51 41.35 0.73 19.92 20.12 37.22
Tab.2  Multiple regression model in different seasons
Fig.4  Verification results of model with only near-ground meteorological factors
Fig.5-1  Verification results of model including meteorological factors on different altitudes
Fig.5-2  Verification results of model including meteorological factors on different altitudes
Fig.6  Effect of different influence factors on PM2.5 mass concentration in four seasons
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